• Terabuck In Bad Commercial Loans to Hit Banking System This Year

    From 68g.1509@21:1/5 to All on Sun Feb 18 00:20:56 2024
    XPost: talk.politics.misc, soc.culture.usa, alt.survival
    XPost: alt.elections

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13084051/commercial-real-estate-banking-crisis-office-space.html

    Commercial real estate 'debt bomb' of $929 billion comes due
    this year with HUNDREDS of banks facing insolvency runs if
    default rates on the loans spike

    Some $929 billion in commercial real estate loans will come
    due in 2024

    About 14% of all CRE loans and 44% of office loans appear
    to be underwater

    Recent study warns of widespread risk of bank failures if
    defaults spike to 10%

    . . .

    Hmmmm ... seems it wasn't THAT long ago that banks
    making mass quantities of CRAP loans took it up
    the ass.

    NOBODY LEARNS A DAMNED THING !

    They're gonna get it two ways. First, as writ, the bad
    "commercial" real-estate/biz loans. There were also too
    many loans based on THIS real-estate bubble, just like
    during the last crash.

    The inflated real-estate market IS beginning to crack
    now, only idiots bought-in at the ridiculous prices
    and nobody can afford the current market anymore.
    Values could drop maybe 25% by the end of the year
    and a lot of interests just ain't gonna pay those
    bank loans anymore.

    Alas, due to PostCovid/JoeFlation/etc, a huge number of
    biz/office properties now stand vacant - no money being
    made. When the loans come due - NADA.

    The top "big banks" are probably covered - but the
    smaller lenders, regional banks, a fair number of
    of private lenders ... they're gonna HURT from this.
    Some project that regional banks are just doomed
    and Wells/BOA/Chase/Citi and a few others will be
    only sure survivors. The SVB debacle last year will
    be the pattern for many.

    Banks try to seize the day ... make as many big loans
    as possible in a short period when markets/etc are
    rising. Top officers and some more shady interests
    make good commissions/profits from that. Of course
    it doesn't last - and then We The People wind up
    bailing them out somehow. Time for CRIMINAL CHARGES
    for criminally-negligent lending ???

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