• Lock Him Up! A New Poll Has Some Bad News for Trump

    From Lock Him Up@21:1/5 to All on Sat Jan 13 15:17:24 2024
    XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, alt.society.liberalism, alt.atheism
    XPost: alt.politics.democrats.d, talk.politics.guns

    Lock Him Up? A New Poll Has Some Bad News for Trump

    To hear Donald Trump tell it, the fact that he keeps getting indicted by prosecutors is a boon to his reelection effort. “Any time they file an indictment, we go way up in the polls,” he said at a dinner shortly after
    he was charged by the Justice Department with attempting to overturn the
    2020 election.

    This counterintuitive claim is questionable on its face — if not
    demonstrably false upon closeexamination — but it is one among many
    dubious arguments that Trump and his allies have advanced in recent months
    as he has been confronted with four different prosecutions brought by the Justice Department, the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office and, most recently, the Fulton County District Attorney’s Office in Georgia.

    A new POLITICO Magazine/Ipsos poll provides some bad news for Trump: Even
    as he remains the clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination, the cascading indictments are likely to take a toll on his general election prospects.

    The survey results suggest Americans are taking the cases seriously — particularly the Justice Department’s 2020 election case — and that most
    people are skeptical of Trump’s claim to be the victim of a legally
    baseless witch hunt or an elaborate, multi-jurisdictional effort to
    “weaponize” law enforcement authorities against him.

    Furthermore, public sentiment in certain areas — including how quickly to
    hold a trial and whether to incarcerate Trump if he’s convicted — is
    moving against the former president when compared to a previous POLITICO Magazine/Ipsos poll conducted in June. This latest poll was conducted from
    Aug. 18 to Aug. 21, roughly two-and-a-half weeks after Trump’s second
    federal indictment and several days after Trump was criminally charged in Fulton County. The poll had a sample of 1,032 adults, age 18 or older, who
    were interviewed online; it has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for all respondents.

    Here are some of the most notable findings from our latest survey.
    1. Most Americans believe Trump should stand trial before the 2024
    election

    On Monday, Trump’s lawyers will face off against federal prosecutors
    before U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan over when to schedule his trial
    in the Justice Department’s 2020 election case — a high-stakes dispute
    that could have dramatic implications for the 2024 election. Federal prosecutors have proposed that the trial begin on Jan. 2, 2024, while
    Trump’s lawyers have countered that the trial should take place in April
    2026. If Trump gets his way, that would, perhaps not coincidentally, leave
    him plenty of time to complete his reelection bid and, if successful, shut
    the case down after retaking the White House.

    Americans are far closer to the Justice Department’s position than to
    Trump’s. Fifty-nine percent of respondents in the poll said that the
    federal trial in Trump’s 2020 election subversion case should take place
    before the 2024 Republican primaries begin early next year. A slightly
    higher number — 61 percent of all respondents — said that the trial should
    take place before the general election next November.

    There was a predictable partisan split among Democrats and Republicans,
    with nearly 90 percent of Democratic respondents seeking an early trial
    date and roughly a third of Republican respondents agreeing.

    It was the reaction of independents, however, that may prove most ominous
    for Trump. Nearly two-thirds (63 percent) of independents said that Trump should stand trial before next November — a figure that suggests
    particular interest in and attentiveness to a case that effectively
    alleges that Trump tried to steal the last election. By way of a rough comparison, when we asked a similar question in June following Trump’s indictment by the Justice Department in Florida concerning his retention
    of classified documents, fewer than half of independent respondents (48 percent) said that the trial in that case should take place before next November.
    2. About half of the country believes Trump is guilty in the pending prosecutions

    The claims on the part of Trump and his supporters that he is the victim
    of a “witch hunt” also seem to be having little effect on the views of Americans across the entire population. About half of the country —
    including overwhelming majorities of Democrats and roughly half of
    independents — believe that Trump is guilty of the series of charges.

    Among the four pending cases, the Manhattan District Attorney’s
    prosecution produced slightly less robust figures, with a total of just 48 percent of respondents reporting that they believe Trump is guilty in that case, which concerns alleged hush money payments to the adult film star
    Stormy Daniels.

    Befitting our polarized country, bare majorities said that they believe
    Trump is guilty in the other cases — 51 percent in the pending Justice Department and Fulton County prosecutions concerning the 2020 election,
    and 52 percent in the Justice Department’s classified documents case.
    3. A conviction in DOJ’s 2020 election case would hurt Trump in the
    general election

    Our latest poll also makes clear that it would be unhelpful for Trump’s presidential bid if he is federally convicted of a criminal scheme to
    steal the last election at the same time that he is asking the American
    people to send him back to the White House.

    A plurality of respondents (44 percent) said that a conviction in the case would have no impact on their likelihood of supporting Trump, but the
    numbers tipped decisively against Trump among those who said that the
    result would inform their vote. Nearly one-third of respondents (32
    percent) said that a conviction in the case would make them less likely to support Trump, including about one-third of independents (34 percent).

    Only 13 percent of respondents said that a conviction would make them more likely to support Trump, and that figure was comprised mostly of
    Republicans.
    4. There is considerable room for the numbers to get worse for Trump

    Despite the seeming tsunami of news coverage of Trump’s legal issues, a
    sizable portion of the public is still learning about the alleged crimes
    of the former president.

    Most respondents said that they understand the charges in the pending
    cases either very well or somewhat well, with the highest numbers — more
    than 60 percent — saying so about the federal prosecutions. But somewhere between roughly one-quarter and one-third of respondents said that they do
    not understand the charges in the cases well.

    That could change as the cases proceed through litigation — and, in
    particular, if one or more cases goes to trial before next November.

    It is reasonable to assume that the media coverage and the facts revealed
    at any trials would, on balance, be unhelpful to Trump as a political
    matter, even if he manages to avoid convictions. Criminal defendants
    generally do not come out looking better at the end of highly publicized trials, even if they get off at the end of the day.

    If there is a strong defense to the charges as a factual matter, Trump and
    his lawyers have yet to provide it. After the latest indictment in Fulton County, for instance, Trump publicly said that he would hold a press
    conference and release a report that would prove his innocence.

    Curious Americans were ultimately left hanging. Two days after his announcement, Trump called off the presser.
    5. Half of the country believes Trump should go to prison if convicted in
    DOJ’s Jan. 6 case

    We also asked respondents what the punishment should be, if anything, if
    Trump is convicted in the Justice Department’s 2020 election case. Fifty percent of respondents said that he should go to prison, including a large majority of Democrats (87 percent) and a slight majority of independents
    (51 percent).

    Another large number of respondents were open to alternative sanctions: 16 percent of respondents said that Trump should get probation, but no imprisonment, if convicted, and 12 percent of respondents said that he
    should simply get a financial penalty. Only 18 percent (largely comprised
    of Republicans) said that there should be no penalty even upon a
    conviction.

    The results suggest that Americans may view Trump’s conduct surrounding
    the Jan. 6 riot and his effort to overturn the election as more serious
    than those in the criminal cases that were filed against Trump earlier
    this year. When we asked respondents comparable questions in June, only 43 percent of respondents said that Trump should go to prison if convicted in
    the Justice Department’s classified documents case, while 40 percent said
    that Trump should go to prison if convicted in the Manhattan District Attorney’s case regarding the payments to Stormy Daniels.
    6. Trump and the GOP’s ‘weaponization’ defense appears to be having
    limited traction

    For months, Trump and his Republican allies have claimed that the Justice Department has been “weaponized” against him by President Joe Biden and Attorney General Merrick Garland. We asked a series of questions in order
    to try to get some understanding of what Americans make of this claim. The results were decidedly mixed for team Trump.

    Fifty-nine percent of respondents — including nearly two-thirds of
    independents — said that the Justice Department’s decision to indict Trump
    in the 2020 election case was based on a fair evaluation of the evidence
    and the law. At the same time, however, 44 percent of respondents —
    including 20 percent of Democrats and 40 percent of independents — said
    that the decision was based on trying to gain a political advantage for
    Biden.

    In fact, more people believe Trump is guilty of weaponizing the legal
    system than Biden. Fifty-three percent of respondents — including 56
    percent of independents — said that the Trump administration actively used
    the Justice Department to investigate political enemies with little or no evidence of actual wrongdoing. The comparable number for the Biden administration was 45 percent across all respondents, including 43 percent
    of independents.
    7. Trump is the prevailing villain in the story of his indictments

    To further test whether the indictments are helping Trump, we asked
    respondents if they had favorable or unfavorable opinions of the actions, statements and behavior of key players in the federal cases — including
    not just Trump, but Biden, Garland, special counsel Jack Smith and the
    Justice Department more generally.

    The results were decidedly unhelpful to Trump. Respondents provided Trump
    with a net favorability rating of -31 percent — the worst figure, by far,
    in this battery of questions (27 percent favorable vs. 58 percent
    unfavorable). Biden fared much better than Trump but still came out with a
    net favorability rating of -9 percent (36 percent favorable vs. 45 percent unfavorable).

    By contrast, the Justice Department appears to have come out slightly
    ahead in the scheme of things, though just barely. Respondents reported a
    net positive favorability rating for the Justice Department of 7 percent
    (40 percent favorable vs. 33 percent unfavorable). Smith’s conduct
    received a net positive favorability rating of 6 percent (26 percent
    favorable vs. 20 percent unfavorable).

    And what about the famously circumspect and temperamentally moderate
    Garland? Perhaps appropriately for the man, Garland came out exactly even,
    with a net favorability rating of 0 percent in relation to his handling of
    the cases (22 percent favorable vs. 22 percent unfavorable).

    Notably, a majority of respondents didn’t know whether to approve or
    disapprove of how Smith and Garland were handling the cases. Both men are
    still largely in the background. That may change when Trump gets to trial.


    A lawyer from Palm Beach County has filed one of the first legal
    challenges to disqualify Donald Trump from the 2024 presidential race
    under a clause in the U.S. Constitution's 14th Amendment.

    Boynton Beach tax attorney Lawrence Caplan filed the challenge in federal
    court in the Southern District of Florida citing the amendment's "disqualification clause" for those who engage in insurrections and
    rebellion against the United States. The amendment was ratified in 1868
    after the Civil War, during Reconstruction, and also addressed the
    citizenship status of freed slaves and the re-integration of the defeated Confederate states back into the Union.

    Applying the 14th Amendment's disqualification rule to Trump has been a
    rising talking point this month. Legal scholars, including from
    conservative corners, have advocated for it. And state elections officials
    have conceded they are having discussions about how they would respond if
    a challenge is lodged.
    [Donald Trump during an arraignment in New York City]
    Full screen

    1 of 51 Photos in Gallery©Kena Betancur, Getty Images
    Former U.S. President Donald Trump waves as he arrives at the Manhattan Criminal Court on April 04, 2023 in New York, New York. Trump will be
    arraigned during his first court appearance today following an indictment
    by a grand jury that heard evidence about money paid to adult film star
    Stormy Daniels before the 2016 presidential election. With the indictment, Trump becomes the first former U.S. president in history to be charged
    with a criminal offense

    But constitutional scholar Kevin Wagner said invoking the amendment to
    kick Trump off the ballot is an endeavor that faces significant legal, constitutional and political hurdles.

    "There's a legitimate argument that one can make surrounding the plain
    wording of the 14th Amendment and the accusations of what the president
    did on Jan. 6," said Wagner, a professor of political science at Florida Atlantic University. "But I think it's a harder lift than people think and
    at the end of the day you have to find someone that's willing to enforce
    it."

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  • From Glencove@21:1/5 to shitbag jones on Sat Jan 13 22:38:22 2024
    XPost: talk.politics.guns, or.politics, alt.sockpuppeteer
    XPost: alt.reciprocity

    In article <unu9i3$3vnnn$4@dont-email.me>
    shitbag jones <shitbag_jones@libidy.con> wrote:

    Niggers are stupid and can never be like white people.

    #TeamRelaxer or #TeamNaturalHair? It’s a debate Black women have
    been having since the dawn of time. Whereas relaxers, a chemical
    treatment that loosens curl patterns and straightens hair, were
    once popular for a myriad of reasons including discrimination
    against Black hair, the latest natural hair movement, which had
    a resurgence in the 2010s, saw many women trading in their Dark
    & Lovely boxes for weekly deep conditioners.

    But now research warns that the use of straighteners, relaxers,
    and other hair products is linked to uterine cancer. The study,
    which was published earlier this week, comes at a time when some
    Black women who previously wore their hair naturally have either
    returned to relaxers or are considering doing so.

    “Frequent and especially long-term use of some hair
    straightening products can affect long-term health. This is
    particularly important for Black women to know as the natural-to-
    relaxer movement gains momentum,” says Dr. LaTasha Perkins, a
    family physician based in Washington, D.C., who was not involved
    in the study

    The hashtag #RelaxersAreBack has 5.3 million views on TikTok to
    date and features Black women getting relaxers at the salon or
    doing it themselves at home. To combat new growth, it is common
    to get a relaxer every six to eight weeks, or roughly six times
    per year.

    According to researchers, hair products may contain hazardous
    chemicals with “endocrine-disrupting and carcinogenic
    properties.” Previously studies have demonstrated certain hair
    products come with a higher risk of breast and ovarian cancer,
    but this is the first one to show an association with uterine
    cancer.

    The study, referred to as the Sister Study, involved nearly
    34,000 participants between the ages of 35 and 74 who did not
    have breast cancer but had at least one sister diagnosed with
    the disease. Researchers evaluated their self-reported use of
    hair products, such as hair dyes, straighteners, relaxers, and
    body waves within the prior 12 months.

    Most of the participants were white and did not include a
    sufficient sample of Black participants to determine association
    with the group even though the authors recognized that adverse
    effects are more likely with this group given “higher prevalence
    of use, initiation at younger ages, and more toxic formulations.”

    “The risk of developing uterine cancer for frequent users of
    relaxers is 4.05% compared to 1.64% for women who’ve never used
    hair straightening products—a number worth paying attention to,”
    says Perkins. “Mind you, uterine cancer is generally rare, but
    is the most common cancer of the female reproductive system
    according to the study.”

    Over an average follow-up of 10.9 years, 378 uterine cancer
    cases were identified in the study. It is believed that the endocrine-disrupting chemicals found in the hair products could
    contribute to uterine cancer risk “because of their ability to
    alter hormonal actions.” Researchers also observed an 80% higher
    risk of uterine cancer among participants who used hair-
    straightening products, with the risk more than double for women
    who used the products more than four times in the previous year.

    “Generally speaking, cancer is the abnormal replication of cells
    that spread to other parts of the body. Hormone-disrupting
    chemicals like parabens, formaldehyde, and metals, which are
    commonly found in hair straightening products, have been
    connected to all sorts of cancer,” explains Perkins. “When we
    put chemicals like this on our scalps, a highly porous part of
    our body, those chemicals are absorbed and enter our
    bloodstream. This can prompt the growth of abnormal cells, and
    eventually result in a case of uterine cancer, for example.
    Hormone-disrupting chemicals disrupt the natural course of cell
    development.”

    As the natural-to-relaxer movement grows, Perkins urges caution
    for those considering a return to relaxers.

    “Before you make the decision to return to a relaxer, please
    educate yourself on what you’re putting on and in your body.
    Take the time to understand the composition of your preferred
    relaxer and consider formaldehyde-free or lye-free options, for
    example,” she says. “Your scalp is a reservoir for absorption,
    so be mindful of how certain chemicals could affect your health
    in the long run. And remember, there are ways to get the same
    look through alternative hair styling methods.”

    Some alternatives to relaxers that achieve the same straight
    hair look are blowouts, silk presses, wigs, and extensions, such
    as sew-in weaves. “The important thing is to be mindful of
    potentially toxic chemicals being used to achieve those styles,”
    warns Perkins.

    If you’re unsure about which ingredients may be harmful, Perkins
    encourages people to call their family physician.

    “I want Black women to feel empowered to choose safer options,”
    says Perkins, who stopped relaxing her hair more than 20 years
    ago and currently wears her hair in locs. “There wasn’t much
    research on the health repercussions of relaxers then, but the
    more I learned about how chemicals absorb into the scalp, the
    less comfortable I was using relaxers…I want to encourage more
    Black women to consider alternatives to relaxers, defining what
    beauty means to them along the way.”

    This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/chemical-hair-straighteners- making-comeback-210000552.html

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