• Trump leads Biden in 4 key swing states, new polling finds

    From Scott Hedrick@21:1/5 to All on Sun Nov 5 23:07:26 2023
    XPost: alt.politics.elections, talk.politics.guns, talk.politics.misc
    XPost: alt.society.liberalism, alt.politics.republicans, sac.politics

    In article <ui905c$4og2$5@dont-email.me>

    Former President Donald Trump holds an edge over President Joe Biden
    in a series of hypothetical matchups among registered voters in four
    key swing states, new polling from The New York Times and Siena
    College shows.

    In Nevada, a state Biden narrowly carried in the 2020 presidential
    election, Trump boasts 52% support to Biden’s 41%. Trump also tops
    Biden in Georgia, a state that was central to his ploy to overturn
    the last presidential election, with 49% to Biden’s 43%.


    Each poll has a margin of sampling error between 4.4 and 4.8 points,
    and the head-to-head matchup remains theoretical — primary voting
    does not begin until next year. Trump overwhelmingly remains the
    Republican front-runner, while Biden, who drew a primary challenge
    from Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips last month, is heavily favored for
    the Democratic nomination.

    The latest battleground state polling underscores the considerable
    challenges facing Biden’s reelection bid, including low job approval
    ratings and questions about his age and ability to steer the
    country. The poll results are especially striking for Biden given
    Trump’s mounting legal troubles. The former president faces 91
    criminal charges across four indictments. He has pleaded not guilty
    to all charges.


    “Coming off those historic (2022) midterms, President Biden’s
    campaign is hard at work reaching and mobilizing our diverse,
    winning coalition of voters one year out on the choice between our
    winning, popular agenda and MAGA Republicans’ unpopular extremism.
    We’ll win in 2024 by putting our heads down and doing the work, not
    by fretting about a poll,” Munoz said.

    The new polling is closer in two other swing states.

    In Pennsylvania, a state Trump won in 2016 but Biden recaptured in
    2020, Trump is at 48% to Biden’s 44%.


    “I would much rather see somebody that I feel can be a positive
    role-model leader for the country. But at least I think Trump has
    his wits about him,” Spencer Weiss said.

    In Wisconsin, meanwhile, Biden takes 47% to Trump’s 45%, well within
    the survey’s margin of error.

    With roughly a year until the general election, these polls, which
    were conducted by telephone from October 22 to November 3, capture
    only one snapshot of the electorate as it currently stands. But they
    show a broad sense of discontent.

    Across these six battleground states, registered voters give Biden
    low job approval marks (38% approve), with just 19% describing the
    economy as excellent or good. At the same time, only 42% in these
    states rate Trump favorably, similar to Biden’s 41% favorability
    rating.

    Registered voters in these six states give Trump the edge in trust
    over Biden to handle the economy, immigration, national security and
    the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, but trust Biden more on abortion,
    with a close split on handling democracy.

    As CNN previously reported, Biden is just as low in the White
    House’s internal polls as in any of the public ones, but his
    advisers remain confident that he is the Democrats’ best option in
    2024. They also believe that the presidential election will be
    decided on razor-thin margins – and that if Biden loses to Trump,
    the country will never be the same.

    Yet while Trump is fielding multiple legal challenges related to his
    business conduct, his efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential
    election, and his handling of classified information, his GOP
    support has not wavered.

    The former president has skipped all the Republican primary debates
    to date, focusing instead on attacking Biden record.

    https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/05/politics/trump-leads-biden-in-key- swing-states-new-polling-finds/index.html

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